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Apple Falls, Amazon Jumps as Wall Street Splits on AI-Era Earnings

Apple beat Wall Street estimates but fell 6% on weak guidance and chip supply warnings, while Amazon jumped 8% on AWS growth and an Anthropic stake gain.

3 min read
Tim Cook, Apple's chief executive

Apple and Amazon reported quarterly results within hours of each other on Thursday, July 30, and Wall Street rewarded one while punishing the other. Apple shares fell as much as 6% in after-hours trading despite beating estimates on every headline number. Amazon shares jumped as much as 8% on accelerating cloud growth and a one-time gain tied to its stake in AI company Anthropic.

What Happened

Apple's fiscal third-quarter revenue reached $109.4 billion, up 16% year-on-year and a June-quarter record. iPhone revenue rose 22% to $54.3 billion and Mac revenue climbed 29% to $10.4 billion. Earnings per share came in at $2.02, ahead of forecasts.

The reaction turned negative once CEO Tim Cook addressed guidance. Apple expects September-quarter revenue growth to slow to 9%-11% year-on-year, citing supply constraints on the advanced chip nodes used in its own processors, after iPhone and Mac demand far exceeded internal forecasts. Cook said the shortfall reflects underestimated demand rather than a supplier problem, and flagged rising memory costs alongside a 2.5 percentage point currency headwind.

Amazon's second-quarter net sales rose 20% to $200.6 billion. Amazon Web Services, its cloud division, grew 36.7% to $42.2 billion, a fifth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth, with an annualised run rate of $169 billion. Net income more than tripled to $62.6 billion, or $5.75 per share, boosted by a $53.4 billion non-operating gain tied to Amazon's stake in Anthropic. Chief executive Andy Jassy raised the company's 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $220 billion, up from $200 billion, and told analysts that even at that level Amazon still would not have enough capacity to meet all the demand it has in 2026.

Why It Matters

The split verdict shows what the market is pricing through this stage of the AI capital-spending cycle. Cloud infrastructure growth that converts into revenue gets rewarded. Hardware guidance shaped by supply constraints gets punished, even next to a headline beat.

  • Apple: beat estimates, still fell 6% on softer guidance and chip-supply warnings
  • Amazon: beat estimates, rose 8% on AWS acceleration and a one-off Anthropic gain
  • Combined capex signal: Amazon alone now plans $220 billion in 2026 spending, mostly AI infrastructure

Apple and Amazon carry significant weight in global equity indices and in the diversified funds many investors hold. A single earnings evening that moves one stock down 6% and another up 8% shifts the composition of index-tracking portfolios, even when neither company's underlying business changed direction overnight.

Context and What to Watch Next

This is the third consecutive week that mega-cap earnings have set the market's tone, after Alphabet, Tesla and Intel reported on July 21 and Microsoft and Meta on July 29. Amazon's Anthropic stake faces its own test ahead: Anthropic has filed confidentially for an IPO said to value the company near $965 billion, which would put Amazon's roughly 21% holding near $202.6 billion, a sum still recorded on Amazon's books as an unrealised gain rather than cash in hand.

Portfolio trackers that show sector and single-stock concentration across accounts make swings like this visible in real time, rather than something investors discover only once the next statement arrives.

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